Home Developers Capabilities Uncertainty propagation

CVP verified calculation capability

Uncertainty propagation Calculation Capability

Propagate standard uncertainties: GUM linear (binary/sensitivity/RSS/budget) or Monte Carlo (JCGM 101); optional correlations, contributions, νeff, Student-t/percentile coverage → U.

Engineering · Uncertainty Capability ID engineering.uncertainty.propagate version 1.9.8 CVP VERIFIED CURRENT Engineering

Model

Sum

Modes: sum · difference · product · quotient · sensitivity · budget · rss · montecarlo

Inputs / Outputs

Canonical symbols for this capability. Agent schemas remain the contract.

SymbolQuantityUnitRole
aFirst valueinput / output
uaStandard uncertainty of ainput / output
bSecond valueinput / output
ubStandard uncertainty of binput / output
unit_aOptional unit label for ainput / output
unit_bOptional unit label for binput / output
rhoOptional correlation coefficient between a and binput / output
kOptional coverage factor; when set, U = k·u_cinput / output
nuaOptional ν for ainput / output
nubOptional ν for binput / output
type_ainput / output
type_binput / output
confidenceOptional two-sided coverage probabilityinput / output
coefficientsSensitivity coefficients ∂f/∂x_iinput
uncertaintiesStandard uncertainties uinput / output
yOptional result value for relative uncertaintyinput / output
unitOptional unit label for y / u_cinput / output
correlationsOptional correlation pairs for sensitivity: [{i,j,rho}] 0-based indicesinput / output
dofOptional degrees of freedom ν_iinput / output
typesOptional Type A/B labelsinput / output
labelsOptional component labelsinput / output
componentsBudget components: [{name?,u,c?,type?,nu?,distribution?,x?}]input / output
modelBinary measurement modelinput / output
NMonte Carlo trialsinput / output
seedPRNG seedinput / output
distributionDefault draw distribution for MCinput / output
distribution_ainput
distribution_binput
u_cCombined standard uncertaintyoutput
u_rel|u_c/y| when y ≠ 0output
reportedHuman-facing rounded valuesoutput
termsNumber of uncertainty termsoutput
quantityPresent when SI-prefix conversion scaled inputs into the output unitoutput
UExpanded uncertainty k·u_c when k providedoutput
contributionsDiagonal variance contributionsoutput
largestoutput
covariance_contributionsOff-diagonal 2ρ c_i c_j u_i u_j shares of u_c²output
nu_effWelch–Satterthwaite νeff when dof provided; Infinity when all ν→∞output
nu_eff_infiniteTrue when νeff → ∞output
k_sourceHow k was obtainedoutput
y_meanoutput
y_medianoutput
y_p025output
y_p975output
y_lowoutput
y_highoutput
linear_u_cFirst-order GUM u_c for comparisonoutput
n_validMonte Carlo samples used for mean/std after singularity filteringoutput
invalid_samplesoutput
near_singularity_samplesoutput
invalid_fractionoutput

Assumptions / Validity

Declared scope for this capability. Do not use it outside this domain.

Assumptions

Example

One numerical check. The calculator page holds worked steps and FAQ.

sum, a=100±0.1, b=50±0.2 → y=150, u_c≈0.2236 (reported u_c=0.22)

Open this example in the calculator

Trust

CVP VERIFIED · CVP protocol 1.0.0-proposed · Engineering assurance · Linear GUM: sum, difference, product, quotient, RSS, sensitivity, budget. Correlation matrices must be PSD (singular PSD allowed). O3 mpmath (80 dps) tabulated linear u_c. Monte Carlo: O2-B seeded mulberry32+Box-Muller replay of y_mean/u_c/percentiles (≤2 ULP) for sum, difference, product, quotient, correlated normal, and budget/rectangular; linear_u_c vs first-order GUM.. Computational verification is defined by CVP. Supplemental domain review (internal) and named expert review are defined by the Review policy and do not by themselves determine CVP conformance.

CVP
CVP VERIFIED · CVP protocol 1.0.0-proposed · Engineering assurance · Linear GUM: sum, difference, product, quotient, RSS, sensitivity, budget. Correlation matrices must be PSD (singular PSD allowed). O3 mpmath (80 dps) tabulated linear u_c. Monte Carlo: O2-B seeded mulberry32+Box-Muller replay of y_mean/u_c/percentiles (≤2 ULP) for sum, difference, product, quotient, correlated normal, and budget/rectangular; linear_u_c vs first-order GUM.· View Manifest · CVP overview · Specification
Verified scope
Linear GUM: sum, difference, product, quotient, RSS, sensitivity, budget. Correlation matrices must be PSD (singular PSD allowed). O3 mpmath (80 dps) tabulated linear u_c. Monte Carlo: O2-B seeded mulberry32+Box-Muller replay of y_mean/u_c/percentiles (≤2 ULP) for sum, difference, product, quotient, correlated normal, and budget/rectangular; linear_u_c vs first-order GUM.
Assurance
Engineering
Declared partition coverage
PASS · 9/9 declared partitions (sum, difference, product, quotient, rss, sensitivity, budget, montecarlo, invalid-domain)
Deferred
Adaptive MCM, arbitrary PDFs, and the full JCGM 101 validation procedure. Budget sensitivity-coefficient dimensional algebra is not automatically verified. Correlated non-normal MC remains out of O2. O3 does not cover Monte Carlo.
Calculation version
1.9.8
Verification
88/88 calculation tests · 11/11 legacy golden · 48/48 legacy boundary · 29/29 legacy property
Production surface contract
10/10
Versions
Calculation 1.9.8 · CVP protocol 1.0.0-proposed · Evidence 2026-09-16.seeded-mc-o3
Verification revision
2026-09-16.seeded-mc-o3 · 29/29 property · digest 77cad1dafb2f
Reference
O1 model · O3 expected_values · O3 numerical_behavior · O2 expected_values · O2 numerical_behavior
Numerical scope
Published modes: linear GUM (sum, difference, product, quotient, RSS, sensitivity, budget) and seeded Monte Carlo replay of y_mean/u_c/percentiles. Not a full JCGM 101 validation procedure. RNG: mulberry32; normal sampler: Box-Muller. ≤2 ULP vs O3 applies only to the published tabulated linear GUM vectors (sum, difference, ρ=1 difference, product, quotient, RSS, sensitivity, 3×3 PSD, singular PSD, budget). It is not a whole-domain guarantee and does not cover Monte Carlo.
Interfaces
PASS · UI (SSR) / REST / MCP
ui-ssr is query-result HTML, not a live browser session.
CVP suite
18/18 golden · 47/47 CVP boundary · 29/29 invalid · 29/29 property · 10/10 O3 · 6/6 cross-interface · 8/8 CVP contract
Supplemental domain review
Internal · Pass · metrology-engineer
Named expert review
Not performed
Version lock
Supported (409 VERSION_MISMATCH)
Artifact consistency
Build verified · 1.9.8 (workspace artifacts agree)
Review-policy tier
Internally reviewed — catalog token internally_reviewed; supplemental; not CVP status
This calculator CURRENT · Public schema 1.9.8 matches · Semantic contract ✓ · Production attested · Public/cache ✓ · Origin ✓

Call this capability

Human page, REST, and MCP share the same engine and calculation_version. Build verified hashes workspace artifacts only. After deploy, attest:production GETs canonical URLs twice — the public/cached view an Agent actually hits, and origin — including every /capabilities/{id} HTML page. Public Capability HTML version must match catalog before production attestation passes. Live Trust rows above fetch /.well-known/calculatorx-production-attestation.json and the output schema const. Build hashes: release integrity. That proves currently published page / engine / schema / evidence / MCP agree — not that a historical version is independently immutable. Reference Calculation Standard — Production surface contract 10/10.

curl -sS -X POST 'https://www.calculatorx.com/api/v1/calc/uncertainty-propagate' \
  -H 'Content-Type: application/json' \
  -d '{"inputs":{"mode":"sum","a":100,"ua":0.1,"b":50,"ub":0.2},"calculation_version":"1.9.8"}'

POST /api/v1/calc/uncertainty-propagate. This is a POST calculate endpoint — do not GET it.

Full REST contract: REST API docs.

Tool id
uncertainty-propagate
Engine
uncertainty-propagate
REST
POST /api/v1/calc/uncertainty-propagate
MCP
execute_calculation with capability_id: "engineering.uncertainty.propagate"
Agent input schema
Canonical (MCP / Agent)
Output schema
JSON Schema (latest)
Versioned input schema
Immutable pin (1.9.8)
Versioned output schema
Immutable pin (1.9.8)

Operations

Declared calculation modes for this capability.

References

Human-readable sources plus CVP reference evidence classes.

Sources

Reference evidence classes: O1 model · O3 expected_values · O3 numerical_behavior · O2 expected_values · O2 numerical_behavior

Try with an agent

Inspect, then execute. Same engine as REST and the human calculator.

curl -sS -X POST 'https://www.calculatorx.com/mcp' \
  -H 'Content-Type: application/json' \
  -H 'MCP-Protocol-Version: 2026-07-28' \
  -H 'Mcp-Method: tools/call' \
  -H 'Mcp-Name: inspect_capability' \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","id":1,"method":"tools/call","params":{"name":"inspect_capability","arguments":{"capability_id":"engineering.uncertainty.propagate"},"_meta":{"io.modelcontextprotocol/protocolVersion":"2026-07-28","io.modelcontextprotocol/clientInfo":{"name":"calculatorx-docs-example","version":"1.0.0"},"io.modelcontextprotocol/clientCapabilities":{}}}}'

Pin calculation_version (1.9.8) when the result must stay reproducible.

Inspect the trust tier and required assurance level before execution. Full protocol notes: MCP docs.